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Economic Research
Photo of M. Emre Tiftik

M. Emre Tiftik

Senior Research Associate
Capital Markets & Emerging Markets Policy

Bio

Mehmet Emre Tiftik is a Senior Research Associate in the Capital Markets and Emerging Markets Policy Department. His major fields of study are international economics and finance with particular interests in G7 and Emerging Europe. Prior to joining the IIF in 2011, Mr. Tiftik served as an instructor and teaching assistant at the University of Maryland, College Park (UMD). From 2005 to 2008, he worked as a research assistant at the Middle East Technical University (METU) in Turkey. Prior to that, he served as a junior research analyst in the Ministry of Labour and Social Security of Turkey where he participated in the evaluation of grant projects under the Delegation of European Union to Turkey.

Mr. Tiftik has received numerous academic honors and awards including the Middle East Economic Association’s Ibn Khaldun Prize (2009), University of Maryland’s Graduate Fellowship (2008), and the Turkish Economic Association’s Research Price (2006).

Education

Mr. Tiftik completed his Bachelor of Science degree in Mathematics and a Master’s degree in Financial Mathematics at METU. He also holds two Master’s degrees in Economics- one from METU with a focus on applied econometrics and the other from UMD with a concentration in quantitative macroeconomic modeling.

Publications

  • Emerging Markets Bank Lending Conditions Survey - 2013Q1
    April 25, 2013

    The latest survey, conducted by the IIF between March 12 and April 16, 2013, pointed to continued overall improvement in bank lending conditions in 2013Q1. Funding conditions—especially in domestic markets—continued to ease in emerging markets, partly reflecting the monetary policy easing in key emerging market economies. However, the pass-through of this improvement to credit standards in some EM banks has been weak.

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  • Japan: Abenomics- High Hopes
    April 12, 2013

    Hopes are high that the new Japanese economic policy will finally end deflation. In the short-term, forceful monetary and fiscal stimulus will support growth. Wages will need to start rising for deflation to end durably. In the medium to long-term, however, expansionary measures need to be accompanied by appropriate structural reforms to lift trend growth. Higher potential growth would help to deal with the fiscal burden.

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  • Euro Briefing: The Post Solidarity Era
    March 26, 2013

    After a week of messy negotiations and flawed proposals, default and devaluation were avoided in Cyprus. Looking ahead, it remains to be seen whether the desire to pass the burden for financial support of the banking sector on to bank creditors is a new approach to be applied generally across the Euro Area, or a one-off solution to be applied just in the very special case of Cyprus.

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  • 2013 March Japan Economic Forecast
    March 15, 2013

    Incoming data indicate that the economy is gaining further momentum in 2013Q1. With the sharp yen depreciation, sentiment indicators have trended up solidly since the beginning of the year. Although the BoJ stayed on hold at its latest meeting, we expect the BoJ to adopt bold measures at the April 4 meeting under new leadership.

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  • March 2013 Global Economic Monitor
    March 14, 2013

    We have become more optimistic about the global growth recovery this month. First, the data flow in Q1 provided more evidence of strength, particularly the improvement in global manufacturing sentiment, the resilience of U.S. consumption, and the solid growth of Chinese production and consumption in the first two months of the year. But there is also more dispersion: we now think that the Euro Area upswing will be less pronounced than we thought before, leading us to lower our 2013 forecast. Second, the materialization of risks (U.S. sequester, Italian elections) is looking less disruptive than feared. Third, financial markets remain in a buoyant mood for now.

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  • February 2013 Global Economic Monitor
    February 08, 2013

    The evidence is mounting that the global economy has reached an inflection point at the turn of the year. GDP growth is recovering after a dismal last quarter of 2012, where growth is likely to have been the weakest since 2009Q1. The latest data releases are in line with our expectation of a continuing gradual acceleration through 2013. The sequence of events leading to this improvement started with a number of positive policy developments, including resolute action by the major central banks to reduce tail risks in the economy and to stimulate growth. This has lifted financial markets in the last several months, followed by a broader improvement in business sentiment and, more recently, is showing up in better hard data releases.

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  • 2013 February Japan Economic Forecast
    February 08, 2013

    The gloomy mood that was evident in Japan before the Lower House election last December has given way to optimism, reflecting the success of the Abe administration in lifting sentiment. With the sharp yen depreciation triggered by the government change, sentiment indicators have trended up solidly since the beginning of the year. In addition, intensified political pressures led the BoJ to announce a 2% inflation target and an open-ended asset purchase program, starting in 2014. We now forecast real GDP to grow by 1% in 2013 and 1.3% in 2014, factoring in fiscal and monetary policy changes.

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