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April 16, 2018

We discuss why global growth was so synchronized last year, which we trace back to the Shanghai G20 meeting in February 2016. That meeting followed

April 12, 2018

Geopolitics boosting oil prices, but this s

April 11, 2018
We do not expect President Trump to sign Iran sanctions waivers on May 12th' However, this will not result in the immediate collapse of the JCPOA The

April 11, 2018
Growth is recovering as oil prices and production rebound. Structural weaknesses cloud the medium-term outlook. The security situation is tenuous, and

April 11, 2018
The world economy expanded in a synchronized manner in 2017. Headline growth in 2018 will be on an even stronger footing, "¦ though we detect first si

April 10, 2018
Following the recent rise in oil prices to over $60 per barrel, there is a sense that the worst is behind the UAE's economy and confidence is graduall

April 9, 2018
Some $21 trillion was added to the global debt mountain in 2017, bringing it to an all-time high of $237 trillion However, with world GDP growth runni

April 6, 2018
Uncertain relations with the US and the coming election cloud the outlook. NAFTA renegotiation is a potential current account negative, but the peso h

April 5, 2018
SOFR: a new reference rate is born U.S.-China tariff talk not y

April 5, 2018

Our latest US Financial Regulatory Update, covering an update on the OLA and Bankruptcy Reform Letter from Treasury, statements from Vice Chairman for

April 4, 2018

Market pricing remains far below the "dots" in 2019 and 2020, reflecting in part a perception that the Fed is a dovish institution. We examine past

April 4, 2018
The April 2018 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams in: regulatory capital stress testing accounting disclosure insu

April 4, 2018
Experts disagree: will population ageing push real interest rates lower or higher?' The answer will depend on changes in savings and investment behavi

April 4, 2018
Spooked by trade tensions and policy concerns, investors have pulled $40 billion from U.S. equity funds since mid-March While fund flows suggest more

April 3, 2018

China's real GDP growth has been very stable since 2015, unlike its main trading partners, which continue to see normal variability. A new activity

April 3, 2018
The growth outlook has improved as the economy is overcoming the impact of policy-related disruptions. Fiscal spending ahead of elections next year wi

April 2, 2018
Broad-based economic growth is expected, predominantly driven by private consumption and investment. Official reserves will rise to USD133 billion in

April 2, 2018
The deficit spiked last year, driving public debt even higher, to 57% of GDP. Election and drought-related expenses were the main deficit drivers, and

April 2, 2018
A government sponsored credit boom helped boost 2017 growth. Resulting strong domestic demand widened the current account deficit.' This leaves Turkey

April 2, 2018
The macroeconomic policy setup is sound with low inflation and a narrowing fiscal deficit.' Real GDP growth has underperformed its neighbors since 201
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