Market volatility and global interest rates have risen sharply, "¦ a challenge for emerging markets dependent on external financing. We scan the emerg
On January 31, the Joint IIF/GA ICP Working Group submitted its response to the public consultation on revised ICP 15 and 16, covering important topic
FROG s ( F rivolously R elated O utput G aps) are oddly small output gap estimates, "¦ which reflect potential GDP bending down to meet years of weak
The associations generally support the FSB's proposed guidance but suggest a few enhancements and clarifications. In particular, the associations reco
The associations appreciate the FSB's awareness that the operationalization of bail-in requires not only banks but also authorities and providers of m
In this note, we examine the evolution of breakeven oil prices in the six GCC countries, Algeria, Iran, Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Russia. We expect extern
In a Global Macro Views in December we introduced BoP Nowcasts, "¦ which map commodity prices and capital flows into daily forecasts for the 2018 BoP.
Real GDP growth was strong in 2017, fueled in part by a sizable credit impulse.' This year, the credit impulse will likely be negative.' We forecast a
China's foreign exchange reserve recovered in 2017, after a decline of $1 trillion over two and half years. This was entirely due to the reversal of f
Global trade tensions are on the rise, "¦ reflecting persistent current account imbalances. The US current account translates into a 10% Dollar overva