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December 1, 2016
OPEC agrees to reduce production by 1.14 mb/d to 32.5 mb/d. Russia and other non-OPEC countries also chip in. Oil prices have spiked, but the continui

December 1, 2016
The government has submitted its budgetary plans for years 2017-2019, in which it plans to reduce the deficit from expected 4.7% of GDP this year to 1

December 1, 2016
As expected after his clear first round victory, François Fillon beat Alain Juppé in the French Republican primary runoff on November 27 with 66.5%

December 1, 2016
Reassessing the Trump trade Trump's economic team starts to take shape Business stays upbeat China-YI Gang tries to sooth RMB fear Turkey-currency wea

November 30, 2016
The economy is slowly recovering on the back of growth in consumption and stabilizing inflation. Increasing consumption and lackluster export growth h

November 29, 2016

Portfolio outflows largest since "taper tantrum": Non-resident portfolio outflows from EMs are estimated to have been a hefty $24.2 billion in Novembe

November 23, 2016
Italy to vote on reforms to limit the powers of the Senate We think a "No" vote is the most likely outcome PM Renzi likely to resign in the case of a

November 23, 2016
The bold but controversial demonetization initiative is a political gamble and will adversely affect growth over several quarters, but should also hav

November 22, 2016
Our recent trip to Budapest reaffirmed our view that policy framework is becoming increasingly more complicated in Hungary as the authorities are look

November 21, 2016
Economic resilience is coming to an end. Uncertainty is the only certainty in the Brexit process. Trump p

November 18, 2016

State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) remain critical to China's economy. They dominate heavy manufacturing, financial services, utilities, telecom and defen

November 18, 2016
Cross-asset :'  The unexpected election win for Donald Trump has triggered a bond market selloff and sharp USD rally, with ripple effects around globa

November 17, 2016
Bond'  market rout-will it get worse? IIF EAC meeting in Vienna-economic consequences of Mr. Trump EM flows fall in post-election reset-new IIF Flows

November 16, 2016
The Trump transition operation remains a bit of a muddle to outside observers. In our latest Weekly Insight , we noted that it was unclear how Trump w

November 15, 2016
 The stunning victory of Donald Trump in the U.S. Presidential election-on the heels of the Brexit vote in June-has highlighted the widespread sur

November 15, 2016
Our measure of daily portfolio flows to emerging markets fell sharply over the past week, with the 7-day moving average declining to its lowest level

November 10, 2016
President Duterte, who came into office on June 30, is stepping up macro stimulus and growth-enhancing reforms, while seeking to fulfill campaign prom

November 10, 2016
Investors price in stronger growth, higher inflation U.S. set for fiscal expansion, but with a high degree of uncertainty U.S. politics-entering a per

November 10, 2016
Expansionary macroeconomic policies and buoyant consumer confidence are likely to propel near-term growth.' The widening trade deficit suggests that t

November 9, 2016
WAVES FROM TRUMP'S VICTORY Donald Trump's presidential victory has had repercussions across the world. These have been particularly intense for Mexic
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