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Publications
European Political Quagmire
April 13, 2016
Merkel is weakened domestically. France is entering a year of presidential elections. There is very little polit
March 2016 EM Growth Tracker
April 13, 2016
EM GROWTH SHOWS SOME FURTHER ACCELERATION After a slight moderation in February, our EM Growth Tracker points to a modest pick-up in March. Our track
Bahrain: Increasing Fiscal Strains
April 11, 2016
In the absence of tighter fiscal policy or exchange rate flexibility, the fiscal deficit will remain large and public debt will rise further to about
IIF Dispatch: Update on Peru
April 11, 2016
Fujimori wins first round. With 83% of the votes now counted, Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular) won the presidential elections held on April 10 with alm
April 2016 Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
April 7, 2016
Since our January report, emerging markets have staged a striking turnaround as asset prices have bounced back and inflows revived. But, while tail ri
Russia: Quest for Credibility
April 7, 2016
Despite the recent hawkish tone, the key policy rate is likely to be cut later this year to 10% provided that oil prices d
Weekly Insight: Sober Start for Q2
April 7, 2016
1. FX in focus: ' As investors watch the Fed --which in turn appears to be watching the markets (see below)--U.S. rat
Venezuela: Judgment Day Coming
April 6, 2016
Default would l
IIF April 2016 Global Regulatory Update
April 6, 2016
The April 2016 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams in regulatory capital, disclosure, accounting, regtech, and upcom
Hungary: Struggling for Growth
March 31, 2016
Hungary has maintained fiscal discipline in recent years, but the government's policy choices have harmed investor sentiment and lowered potential gro
Indonesia: On the Mend
March 31, 2016
While persistent revenue weakness means that the budget will have to be revised, the government
Comments on Core Principles Consultation on Financial Inclusion Guidance
March 31, 2016
The IIF submitted comments in March 31 to the Basel Committee on their consultation on the application of the core principles for effective banking su
Weekly Insight: Enthusiasm for Emerging Markets
March 31, 2016
Yellen cheers the markets-but for how long? March Madness - EM portfolio flows surge to 21-month high Brazil-abandoning a sinking ship GCC authorities
March 2016 Portfolio Allocation Trends
March 30, 2016
Surge in EM fund flows : After a very weak start to the year, EM funds have seen over $10.5 billion of inflows since late February (Chart 1). Better m
April 2016 Capital Markets Monitor: Stock Market Rebound vs. Profit Recessions
March 30, 2016
After falling sharply around the turn of the year and reaching bear market territory in mid-February, global equity markets have staged a strong rebou
GCC: Dollar Pegs Will be Maintained
March 29, 2016
GCC authorities remain firmly committed to their dollar pegs, believing that the pegs safeguard economic stability and reduce the chances of social un
March 2016 EM Portfolio Flows Tracker and Flows Alert
March 29, 2016
Estimated non-resident portfolio flows to EMs surged to a 21-month high of $36.8 billion in March, following a $5.4 billion inflow in February. Both b
March 2016 EM Portfolio Flows Tracker and Flows Alert
March 29, 2016
Estimated non-resident portfolio flows to EMs surged to a 21-month high of $36.8 billion in March, following a $5.4 billion inflow in February. Both b
Loss Given Default: More Than Just Liquidation
March 24, 2016
Some common perceptions of loss/recovery rates and expectations of Loss Given Default (LGD) are based on publicized liquidation scenarios, when such s
Weekly Insight: Pause and Reflect
March 24, 2016
Nigeria: Monetary policy reversal Catalonia-Stressed times ahead 1.' Markets take a breather. Following gains of more than 10% over the past mont
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