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Publications
Weekly Insight: Much Ado About Nothing New
September 17, 2015
Fed holds on EM concerns Inflation or deflation-a diverse picture China-activity data continues to disappoint Frontier Asia-resilience in a challen
Maroc: Stabilité macroéconomique, mais des défis pour la croissance
September 17, 2015
Les politiques appropriées des autorités combinées au faible cours du pétrole ont contribué Ã maintenir la stabilité macroéconomique et rédui
September 2015 Capital Markets Monitor Chartbook
September 17, 2015
Cross-asset: Amid severe pressure on EM equities and currencies, Japanese and Euro Area equities have been among the few winners year-to-date. With th
Mexico: Overhaul of Public Security is Long Overdue
September 16, 2015
Notwithstanding recently approved measures, overall p
Risk and Capital: The Essential Nexus
September 14, 2015
Since the financial crisis, the IIF has consistently supported the Basel III capital reforms, which have helped to increase banks' capital levels acro
Joint Associations' Response to BCBS Consultative Document on IRRBB
September 11, 2015
The IIF, together with the IBFed, GFMA and ISDA, submitted a response to the BCBS consultation on interest rate risk in the banking book. While the jo
IIF Flows Alert: EM Outflows Reach 70-80% of Taper Tantrum
September 10, 2015
Our Flows Alert remains active as EMs have continued to suffer outflows of portfolio capital in recent days. The retrenchment seems to have reintens
Venezuela: On the Edge of a Cliff
September 10, 2015
B arring an unexpected surprise, the opposition should seiz
Weekly Insight: On Tenterhooks
September 10, 2015
Markets say "no"' Fed -' In two minds EM growth softens in August' China's FX reserves take a hit Brazil -' Going, Going, Gone Puerto Rico - Closing t
Nigeria: Policy Vacuum Adding to Naira Woes
September 9, 2015
The 60% decline in the oil price since last year and the slow political transition following elections in March is taking its toll on the Nigerian eco
IIF Dispatch: Update from Argentina
September 9, 2015
Below are the main takeaways from recent meetings in Buenos Aires with top advisors to presidential candidates for the October 25 elections: "¢The pre
IIF Dispatch: Update from Tokyo
September 9, 2015
It's not just the tropical typhoon fraying nerves and dampening spirits. Our recent visit also found rising concern about the damage from spillovers f
August 2015 EM Coincident Indicator
September 9, 2015
EM Growth Softens in August on Tighter Financial Conditions The IIF EM Coincident Indicator fell by 0.2pp to 3% in August, back to June's level (Chart
August 2015 Portfolio Allocation Trends
September 9, 2015
Trends in allocations suggest that fund investors have rebalanced their portfolios towards much safer asset classes over the few past weeks. With
IIF Dispatch: Update on Lebanon
September 8, 2015
"¢Widespread corruption and political paralysis are shaking the social and physical landscape of Lebanon.' The country has seen anti-government protes
IIF Flows Alert: Reversal Continues but at Slower Pace
September 3, 2015
EMs have continued to suffer outflows of portfolio capital in recent days, but the pace of outflows has eased. Total outflows thus far are estimated a
Romania: Risks from Fiscal Stimulus
September 3, 2015
With fiscal discipline broadly sustained since 2009, improving consumer and investor confidence and reducing vulnerabilities, real GDP returned to pre
Weekly Insight: Surveying the Damage
September 3, 2015
ECB-a dovish birthday party EM outlook takes another hit Tipping the EM "Beauty Pageant" The PREPA bond restructuring-template for Puerto Rico '
September 2015 Forecast in Detail
September 2, 2015
CHANGES IN IIF FORECASTS Compared to our July GEM, we have lowered our global growth forecast for both 2015 and 2016 by 0.1pp. This primarily reflect
September 2015 Global Economic Monitor: Storm Out of China
September 2, 2015
For most of this year, there was anxiety that Fed liftoff could lead to a storm across emerging markets. Over the last few weeks, a storm has indeed r
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