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Publications
Emerging Europe: Diverging Fortunes
January 13, 2014
Even though the external environment has improved markedly for Emerging Europe, recent performance and the near-term outlook have become increasingly
Weekly Insight: Measured Fed, dovish ECB, market watchful
January 9, 2014
Equity rally takes a breather; a good week for sovereign issuance; EM eyes on China Fed minutes suggest smooth launch for QE3 wind-down Stronger Euro
Weekly Insight: New Year, Fresh Look
January 2, 2014
Still constructive outlook for equities; risks to consensus view on bond yields Global manufacturing recovery remains on track, but EMs still lagging
Frontier Equity Markets
January 1, 2014
Download PDF (493.09 KB) IIF Authors Emre Tifti
Bitcoin - Tulip Mania or Revolution?
January 1, 2014
Making inroads in some quarters, but concerns about risks and lack of regulation persist. Despite its many ingenious features, Bitcoin's use as a wide
Capital Flows into Frontier Markets
January 1, 2014
Download PDF (387.2 KB) IIF Authors Emre Tif
Weekly Insight: Tapering at last: equities like it better than bonds
December 19, 2013
Limited selling in bond markets, modest rally in developed market equities Tapering may reinforce investor discrimination, vis-a-vis emerging market a
Ukraine: Kicking the Can Down the Road
December 19, 2013
Ukraine has avoided a looming default by accepting a $20' billion bailout from Russia. With no explicit policy conditions, the bailout should enable t
Iran: Economic Implications of Lifting Sanctions
December 18, 2013
The additional sanctions imposed by the U.S. and the EU in the past year have caused severe damage to an economy already suffering from the cumulative
December 2013 Global Economic Monitor
December 16, 2013
The prospects for a much awaited pick-up in global growth look increasingly bright for 2014 and 2015. The upswing in the mature economies is progressi
Venezuela: Deepening Imbalances, Rising Risks
December 12, 2013
Policy mismanagement in the context of stabilizing oil prices has exposed Venezuela's deep macroeconomic imbalances. Seeking to restart growth, the go
Weekly Insight: Risk assets lose steam despite good U.S. data
December 12, 2013
Eyes on potential for December Fed taper, ECB comments Stronger U.S. data flow and budget deal put taper back in focus Mexico pushes a sweeping energy
Riding the Roller Coaster: Managing Capital Flows to Emerging Markets
December 9, 2013
This presentation by IIF Managing Director and Chief Economist Charles Collyns at the International Finance Forum hosted by the George Washington Univ
Weekly Insight: Jittery Markets as Growth Picks Up
December 5, 2013
Bonds suffer as U.S. data come in strong, ECB signals no rate move Manufacturing PMIs continue their rise U.S. Q3 GDP revised up to 3.6%, Q4 looks clo
Hungary: Near-Term Upside, Medium-Term Challenges
December 3, 2013
The near-term growth outlook has improved due to markedly expansionary policies. Sharp fiscal tightening last year and record low inflation leave scop
Weekly Insight: Policy in the Spotlight-Focus on U.S., China
November 21, 2013
Will higher bond yields dent the risk rally? China's third plenum blueprint beats expectations Chinese domestic bond market-ready to open up? Slow but
Weekly Insight: Risk Rally Still Running
November 14, 2013
Mature markets continue to rise, although emerging markets less buoyant Yellen remarks seen as dovish, and Fed policy normalization still seen distant
Ukraine: Time Is Running Out
November 14, 2013
Inflexible economic policies have caused the recession to deepen and macroeconomic imbalances to swell as financing pressures have intensified with ac
November 2013 Global Economic Monitor
November 14, 2013
Recent data in both mature and emerging markets have been consistent with the global economy achieving a significant pick-up in growth in 2014, with a
Sub-Saharan Africa: Reforms Needed For Higher Growth
November 10, 2013
With the exception of South Africa, global financial market volatility over the past few years has had little effect on growth in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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