COVID-19 sends equity valuations plummeting worldwide: the U.S. cyclically adjusted P/E ratio (price to average long-term real earnings) is just below its long-term average, while Germany, France and EMs CAPEs are already near historic lows.
In this special edition of the Global Regulatory Update, Andres Portilla, Managing Director and Head of Regulatory Affairs, discusses with Bill Coen, former Secretary General of the Basel Committee and Chairman of the IFRS Advisory Council, the global regulatory and policy response to the ongoing COVID-19 crisis.
The April U.S. Regulatory Update covers U.S. regulators’ responses to COVID-19, the CARES Act, the recent FSOC meeting, the Fed’s stress capital buffer and CCAR announcements, and more.
The COVID-19 shock has meant a sharp sudden stop for emerging markets, with our daily tracking of non-resident portfolio outflows at unprecedented levels.
Russia’s fiscal breakeven oil price, around $40/bbl in 2020, is the lowest among major oil exporters. While Saudi Arabia’s fiscal and external breakeven prices should decline due to a cut in non-priority spending and a fall in imports, fiscal breakeven prices remain well above $60 in much of MENA.
Janine Guillot, the CEO of, Sustainability Accounting Standards Board Foundation (SASB), Janine Guillot, joins the latest episode of our “All about the Green” podcast. Speaking with the IIF Managing Director and Head of Sustainable Finance, Sonja Gibbs.
March saw the largest portfolio outflows from EM. Equity and debt were -$52.4 bn and -$31.0 bn, respectively. Net capital flows to EM reached $0.2 bn in February.
Acclaimed author Chris Skinner joins FRT to discuss his latest book, Doing Digital, profiling the digitalization efforts, challenges and success stories of JP Morgan, BBVA, ING, DBS & China Merchants Bank.
We believe multilateral support will be critical for South Africa going forward. Moody’s rating downgrade will likely trigger further capital outflows in 2020Q2. This will continue the pressure on the ZAR, which we have flagged as overvalued. Economic contraction and higher funding costs will likely make debt unsustainable.
China’s NPL ratio has been remarkably stable amid slowing economic growth, largely because many NPLs have been written off. Without these write-offs, China’s NPL ratio would be at 4.85% today instead of the actual 1.86%. More institutions and instruments have been introduced to clean up NPLs.
We rank EM on preparedness to handle COVID-19, beyond the scope there may be to ease macro policies.
This short briefing note analyzes the recent Bank of Canada and Bank of England discussion papers on potential Central Bank Digital Currencies.
Our MENA growth forecast stands at -0.3% with additional downside risks and high uncertainty over the duration of the shutdown and an additional potential fall on oil prices. We project recession in most oil exporters, the lowest growth in oil importers since the early 1990s, and wide twin deficits.
Global household debt tops $47 trillion—over $12 trillion higher than in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis; More than three-fourths of the 75 countries in our sample now have higher household debt-to-GDP ratios than in 2007.
Robin Brooks, Managing Director and Chief Economist, Elina Ribakova, Deputy Chief Economist, and Sergi Lanau, Deputy Chief Economist, tackle their global and regional growth forecasts in six questions.
The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Federal Government have begun to implement a series of policy measures to address the economic and financial fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, the two grids in this document break out the recent policy responses.
The IIF commended the efforts taken by BCBS and IOSCO to address the challenges of the final phases of non-cleared margin implementation. However, it underscored that the efforts of our members to prepare are severely impacted by the global COVID-19 pandemic.
The Institute of International Finance (IIF) and McKinsey & Co. have completed a joint survey around cyber resilience to provide an understanding of current and planned practices that financial firms are undertaking to enable and strengthen firm-level and sector-level cyber resilience.
We now expect a recession in CEEMEA as a result of COVID-19. CEE will be affected by Euro area contraction but has policy space. ussia’s buffers and flexible Ruble should reduce impact on growth. Lower growth will markedly worsen debt dynamics in South Africa. Recession concerns could trigger further policy easing in Turkey.